Inteligjenca amerikane ka ngritur shqet\u00ebsimin se Vladimir Putin mund t\u00eb tentoj\u00eb t\u00eb testoj\u00eb vendosm\u00ebrin\u00eb e NATO-s me nj\u00eb aksion t\u00eb kufizuar kund\u00ebr nj\u00eb vendi an\u00ebtar t\u00eb Aleanc\u00ebs, n\u00eb nj\u00eb zhvillim q\u00eb po rrit shqet\u00ebsimet p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb e Evrop\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Sipas nj\u00eb raportimi t\u00eb The Wall Street Journal, vler\u00ebsimet e reja t\u00eb Inteligjenc\u00ebs amerikane sugjerojn\u00eb se Rusia mund t\u00eb shqyrtoj\u00eb nj\u00eb veprim kund\u00ebr nj\u00eb vendi t\u00eb NATO-s nga vjeshta e vitit 2026 deri n\u00eb vitin 2029. Skenar\u00ebt e p\u00ebrmendur variojn\u00eb nga sulmet kibernetike dhe sabotazhi deri te p\u00ebrdorimi i grupeve t\u00eb armatosura pa shenja identifikuese dhe, n\u00eb skenarin m\u00eb serioz, nj\u00eb inkursion i kufizuar ushtarak n\u00eb krahun lindor t\u00eb NATO-s.<\/p>\n
Nuk ka konfirmim p\u00ebr nj\u00eb sulm \u201cmuajin tjet\u00ebr\u201d
\nPavar\u00ebsisht titujve q\u00eb flasin p\u00ebr mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e nj\u00eb sulmi brenda jav\u00ebve, Inteligjenca amerikane nuk ka dh\u00ebn\u00eb nj\u00eb dat\u00eb konkrete p\u00ebr nj\u00eb sulm rus ndaj NATO-s.<\/p>\n
Raportimi i WSJ e vendos periudh\u00ebn e mundshme n\u00eb nj\u00eb dritare q\u00eb nis k\u00ebt\u00eb vjesht\u00eb dhe shtrihet deri n\u00eb vitin 2029. Sipas vler\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb cituara, skenari i nj\u00eb inkursioni tok\u00ebsor \u00ebsht\u00eb aktualisht me probabilitet t\u00eb ul\u00ebt, por rreziku mund t\u00eb rritet me kalimin e koh\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Kjo do t\u00eb thot\u00eb se nj\u00eb sulm n\u00eb shtator apo tetor 2026 \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb skenar i p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb n\u00eb periudh\u00ebn e paralajm\u00ebruar, por nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb parashikim se Rusia do t\u00eb sulmoj\u00eb patjet\u00ebr NATO-n muajin e ardhsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
\u00c7far\u00eb mund t\u00eb b\u00ebj\u00eb Rusia?
\nSipas vler\u00ebsimeve t\u00eb raportuara, Moska mund t\u00eb k\u00ebrkoj\u00eb nj\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb testuar reagimin e Aleanc\u00ebs pa nisur nj\u00eb luft\u00eb t\u00eb plot\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Skenar\u00ebt p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb sulme kibernetike ndaj infrastruktur\u00ebs s\u00eb nj\u00eb vendi t\u00eb NATO-s, sabotim t\u00eb objekteve kritike, sulme me dron\u00eb ose raketa, p\u00ebrdorimin e grupeve t\u00eb armatosura pa shenja identifikuese, deri edhe te nj\u00eb inkursion t\u00eb kufizuar n\u00eb territorin e nj\u00eb vendi an\u00ebtar.<\/p>\n
Q\u00ebllimi i mundsh\u00ebm do t\u00eb ishte t\u00eb shihej n\u00ebse NATO do t\u00eb reagonte menj\u00ebher\u00eb dhe n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb t\u00eb bashkuar, apo n\u00ebse do t\u00eb shfaqeshin p\u00ebr\u00e7arje mes vendeve an\u00ebtare.<\/p>\n
Pse krahun lindor e konsiderojn\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb rrezikuar?
\nV\u00ebmendja kryesore \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrqendruar te Polonia, vendet baltike dhe pjes\u00eb t\u00eb tjera t\u00eb krahut lindor t\u00eb NATO-s, ku distanca nga territori rus dhe Bjellorusia \u00ebsht\u00eb relativisht e vog\u00ebl.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb dit\u00ebt e fundit jan\u00eb regjistruar edhe incidente t\u00eb reja ajrore.<\/p>\n
M\u00eb 14 gusht, avion\u00eb t\u00eb NATO-s rr\u00ebzuan nj\u00eb dron q\u00eb hyri n\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn ajrore t\u00eb Letonis\u00eb. Nj\u00eb Eurofighter italian u p\u00ebrdor p\u00ebr interceptimin, nd\u00ebrsa dy avion\u00eb turq dhe nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr italian u aktivizuan gjithashtu. Autoritetet than\u00eb se hetimi p\u00ebr origjin\u00ebn e dronit vazhdonte.<\/p>\n
Vet\u00ebm dy dit\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb, nj\u00eb tjet\u00ebr dron i dyshuar rus hyri n\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn ajrore t\u00eb Rumanis\u00eb dhe u rr\u00ebzua nga nj\u00eb avion luftarak spanjoll F-18. Ky ishte incidenti i kat\u00ebrt i till\u00eb n\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn ajrore rumune q\u00eb nga fillimi i pushtimit rus t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebto incidente nuk jan\u00eb automatikisht prova t\u00eb nj\u00eb sulmi t\u00eb planifikuar ndaj NATO-s, por kan\u00eb shtuar shqet\u00ebsimet se mbrojtja ajrore e Aleanc\u00ebs mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb duke u testuar ose v\u00ebn\u00eb n\u00ebn presion.<\/p>\n
Gjermania paralajm\u00ebron p\u00ebr luft\u00ebn hibride
\nShqet\u00ebsimi nuk kufizohet vet\u00ebm te sulmet konvencionale.<\/p>\n
Gjenerali Carsten Breuer, kreu i Ushtris\u00eb gjermane, ka paralajm\u00ebruar se Rusia po teston vazhdimisht mbrojtjen e NATO-s p\u00ebrmes taktikave hibride, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb incidentet me dron\u00eb. Sipas tij, Moska po p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb identifikoj\u00eb dob\u00ebsit\u00eb e mbrojtjes evropiane dhe t\u00eb vler\u00ebsoj\u00eb se si do t\u00eb reagonte Aleanca.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb Gjermani, autoritetet po hetojn\u00eb gjithashtu nj\u00eb incident me nj\u00eb dron t\u00eb dyshuar se kishte lidhje me Rusin\u00eb dhe q\u00eb u gjet pran\u00eb aeroportit Leipzig\/Halle. Inteligjenca amerikane e ka lidhur incidentin me Rusin\u00eb, sipas raportimit t\u00eb WSJ.<\/p>\n
Rreziku m\u00eb i madh: nj\u00eb incident q\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzohet
\nNj\u00eb prej shqet\u00ebsimeve kryesore t\u00eb NATO-s \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb Rusia t\u00eb mos nis\u00eb nj\u00eb pushtim t\u00eb madh, por t\u00eb nd\u00ebrmarr\u00eb nj\u00eb veprim t\u00eb kufizuar dhe t\u00eb paqart\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb sulm kibernetik, sabotim, dron i armatosur apo inkursion i vog\u00ebl mund t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb nj\u00eb dilem\u00eb t\u00eb madhe p\u00ebr NATO-n: sa i madh duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb reagimi dhe n\u00ebse duhet t\u00eb konsiderohet nj\u00eb sulm ndaj t\u00eb gjith\u00eb Aleanc\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Kjo lidhet drejtp\u00ebrdrejt me Nenin 5 t\u00eb Traktatit t\u00eb NATO-s, sipas t\u00eb cilit nj\u00eb sulm ndaj nj\u00eb an\u00ebtari konsiderohet \u00e7\u00ebshtje e Aleanc\u00ebs n\u00eb t\u00ebr\u00ebsi.<\/p>\n
Pik\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, nj\u00eb provokim i kufizuar mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb strategjikisht i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm p\u00ebr Mosk\u00ebn: jo domosdoshm\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr t\u00eb pushtuar territor t\u00eb madh, por p\u00ebr t\u00eb testuar n\u00ebse vendet e NATO-s do t\u00eb q\u00ebndronin t\u00eb bashkuara.<\/p>\n
NATO: jemi t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatitur
\nNATO ka deklaruar se \u00ebsht\u00eb e gatshme t\u00eb parandaloj\u00eb dhe, n\u00ebse \u00ebsht\u00eb e nevojshme, t\u00eb mbroj\u00eb territorin e vendeve an\u00ebtare.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb z\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebs i Aleanc\u00ebs tha se NATO \u00ebsht\u00eb \u201cgati t\u00eb frenoj\u00eb dhe t\u00eb mbrohet sipas nevoj\u00ebs\u201d, nd\u00ebrsa theksoi se aleanca p\u00ebrgatitet vazhdimisht p\u00ebr nj\u00eb s\u00ebr\u00eb skenar\u00ebsh.<\/p>\n
Nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, incidentet e fundit me dron\u00eb po detyrojn\u00eb vendet evropiane t\u00eb rishikojn\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00ebn se si mbrojn\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn e tyre ajrore, pasi p\u00ebrdorimi i avion\u00ebve luftarak\u00eb p\u00ebr \u00e7do dron \u00ebsht\u00eb tep\u00ebr i kushtuesh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrim p\u00ebr Evrop\u00ebn
\nVler\u00ebsimi i ri amerikan vjen n\u00eb nj\u00eb moment kur lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb vazhdon dhe Rusia po p\u00ebrdor gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb mjete t\u00eb luft\u00ebs hibride p\u00ebrtej fush\u00ebbetej\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Mesazhi kryesor i Inteligjenc\u00ebs amerikane nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb se nj\u00eb luft\u00eb Rusi-NATO \u00ebsht\u00eb e pashmangshme. Paralajm\u00ebrimi \u00ebsht\u00eb se Moska mund t\u00eb shoh\u00eb nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr t\u00eb testuar kohezionin e Aleanc\u00ebs n\u00eb vitet e ardhshme dhe se ky rrezik duhet marr\u00eb seriozisht.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr momentin, nuk ka prova publike se Putin ka marr\u00eb vendim p\u00ebr nj\u00eb sulm t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb ndaj NATO-s n\u00eb muajin e ardhsh\u00ebm. Por fakti q\u00eb vler\u00ebsimet amerikane tani p\u00ebrfshijn\u00eb nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi t\u00eb till\u00eb n\u00eb horizontin nga vjeshta 2026 deri n\u00eb 2029 ka shkaktuar alarm t\u00eb ri n\u00eb kryeqytetet evropiane.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Inteligjenca amerikane ka ngritur shqet\u00ebsimin se Vladimir Putin mund t\u00eb tentoj\u00eb t\u00eb testoj\u00eb vendosm\u00ebrin\u00eb e…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":45444,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-45441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bote"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45441","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=45441"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45441\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":45445,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/45441\/revisions\/45445"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/45444"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=45441"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=45441"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=45441"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}