Parashikimet e para afatgjata p\u00ebr dimrin 2026\/2027 tregojn\u00eb nj\u00eb sezon me m\u00eb pak bor\u00eb se mesatarja n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs, nd\u00ebrsa zhvillimi i nj\u00eb fenomeni t\u00eb fuqish\u00ebm El Ni\u00f1o pritet t\u00eb jet\u00eb nj\u00eb nga faktor\u00ebt kryesor\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb qarkullimin atmosferik dhe n\u00eb pozicionimin e sistemeve t\u00eb presionit.<\/p>\n
Sipas modeleve afatgjata ECMWF dhe UKMO, nj\u00eb zon\u00eb e fuqishme e presionit t\u00eb lart\u00eb n\u00eb jug t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs, e shoq\u00ebruar me presion m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebt n\u00eb veri, mund t\u00eb favorizoj\u00eb dep\u00ebrtimin e masave m\u00eb t\u00eb buta ajrore nga Atlantiku drejt kontinentit. Kjo situat\u00eb do t\u00eb reduktonte mund\u00ebsit\u00eb p\u00ebr reshje d\u00ebbore t\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme, sidomos n\u00eb zonat e ul\u00ebta dhe n\u00eb pjes\u00ebt qendrore, per\u00ebndimore e jugore t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Sipas parashikimeve t\u00eb Severe Weather Europe, n\u00ebntori dhe dhjetori mund t\u00eb karakterizohen nga nj\u00eb fillim relativisht i ngadalsh\u00ebm i sezonit t\u00eb bor\u00ebs. N\u00eb dhjetor, pjesa m\u00eb e madhe e kontinentit paraqitet me sinjale p\u00ebr reshje d\u00ebbore n\u00ebn mesataren, nd\u00ebrsa kushte m\u00eb t\u00eb favorshme shfaqen kryesisht n\u00eb zonat malore dhe n\u00eb veri t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Edhe janari dhe shkurti nuk sjellin nj\u00eb ndryshim t\u00eb madh n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb prirje. Modelet vazhdojn\u00eb t\u00eb sinjalizojn\u00eb deficit t\u00eb reshjeve t\u00eb d\u00ebbor\u00ebs n\u00eb pjes\u00ebn m\u00eb t\u00eb madhe t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs qendrore, per\u00ebndimore, veriper\u00ebndimore dhe jugore, nd\u00ebrsa m\u00eb shum\u00eb bor\u00eb pritet n\u00eb zonat veriore dhe verilindore. Shkurti, i cili zakonisht \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb muaj m\u00eb i favorsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr bor\u00ebn n\u00eb shum\u00eb vende evropiane, mund t\u00eb sh\u00ebnoj\u00eb deficitin m\u00eb t\u00eb madh n\u00ebse qarkullimi i but\u00eb per\u00ebndimor vazhdon.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr Ballkanin, kjo pamje n\u00ebnkupton se temperaturat m\u00eb t\u00eb buta dhe mungesa e nj\u00eb qarkullimi t\u00eb q\u00ebndruesh\u00ebm t\u00eb ftoht\u00eb mund ta b\u00ebjn\u00eb m\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb krijimin e shtres\u00ebs s\u00eb q\u00ebndrueshme t\u00eb bor\u00ebs n\u00eb ult\u00ebsira. Megjithat\u00eb, kjo nuk do t\u00eb thot\u00eb munges\u00eb totale e bor\u00ebs. Parashikimet afatgjata tregojn\u00eb vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb prirje p\u00ebr sasi m\u00eb t\u00eb ul\u00ebta se mesatarja, nd\u00ebrsa episodet e ve\u00e7anta t\u00eb t\u00eb ftohtit dhe reshjeve mund t\u00eb shfaqen gjat\u00eb dimrit.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb zonat malore, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00eb lart\u00ebsi m\u00eb t\u00eb m\u00ebdha, situata mund t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb e favorshme p\u00ebr bor\u00eb. Modelet sugjerojn\u00eb se bora do t\u00eb jet\u00eb m\u00eb e q\u00ebndrueshme kryesisht n\u00eb zonat me lart\u00ebsi dhe n\u00eb rajonet m\u00eb veriore e verilindore t\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr parashikime sezonale shum\u00eb t\u00eb hershme, jo p\u00ebr nj\u00eb skenar t\u00eb p\u00ebrcaktuar t\u00eb motit. Vet\u00eb burimi thekson se \u00e7do dim\u00ebr mund t\u00eb zhvillohet ndryshe dhe se mesataret shum\u00ebvje\u00e7are nuk p\u00ebrcaktojn\u00eb sakt\u00ebsisht se si do t\u00eb jet\u00eb sezoni n\u00eb nj\u00eb vend t\u00eb caktuar.<\/p>\n
Prandaj, p\u00ebr Evrop\u00ebn dhe Ballkanin, sinjali kryesor i parashikimeve t\u00eb para \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb dim\u00ebr potencialisht m\u00eb i but\u00eb dhe me m\u00eb pak bor\u00eb n\u00eb ult\u00ebsira, nd\u00ebrsa zonat malore do t\u00eb ken\u00eb avantazh p\u00ebr reshje dhe shtres\u00eb d\u00ebbore. Megjithat\u00eb, dinamika atmosferike mund t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm deri n\u00eb fillimin e dimrit dhe episodet e shkurtra t\u00eb bor\u00ebs mund t\u00eb jen\u00eb ende t\u00eb mundshme.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Parashikimet e para afatgjata p\u00ebr dimrin 2026\/2027 tregojn\u00eb nj\u00eb sezon me m\u00eb pak bor\u00eb se…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":48886,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-48883","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lajme"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48883","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=48883"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48883\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48887,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48883\/revisions\/48887"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/48886"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=48883"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=48883"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=48883"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}