Izraeli, me sa duket, \u00ebsht\u00eb s\u00ebrish n\u00eb nj\u00eb bllokad\u00eb politike.<\/p>\n
Pas num\u00ebrimit t\u00eb gati 90 p\u00ebr qind t\u00eb votave nga zgjedhjet e mbajtura t\u00eb mart\u00ebn, duket se as koalicioni i kryeministrit aktual, Benjamin Netanyahu, dhe as blloku i rivalit t\u00eb tij kryesor, Gadi Eisenkot, nuk do t\u00eb mund t\u00eb sigurojn\u00eb shumic\u00ebn e nevojshme p\u00ebr formimin e qeveris\u00eb.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr t\u00eb formuar qeverin\u00eb, nj\u00ebra nga partit\u00eb kryesore ka t\u00eb ngjar\u00eb t\u00eb detyrohet t\u00eb shkel\u00eb premtimet kryesore t\u00eb b\u00ebra gjat\u00eb fushat\u00ebs zgjedhore.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, zgjedhjet e reja duken si skenari m\u00eb i mundsh\u00ebm. M\u00eb posht\u00eb jan\u00eb kat\u00ebr skenar\u00ebt e mundsh\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
1. Qeveri e unitetit komb\u00ebtar me Netanyahun n\u00eb krye<\/p>\n
Mund\u00ebsia e par\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb Netanyahu ta bind\u00eb Eisenkotin t\u2019i bashkohet n\u00eb nj\u00eb qeveri t\u00eb unitetit komb\u00ebtar.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast, Eisenkoti do t\u00eb duhej t\u00eb hiqte dor\u00eb nga platforma e tij kryesore politike, pasi ishte paraqitur si alternativa e vetme ndaj Netanyahut dhe e kishte bazuar t\u00eb gjith\u00eb fushat\u00ebn n\u00eb premtimin se do ta largonte at\u00eb nga pushteti.<\/p>\n
Mbr\u00ebm\u00eb, n\u00eb selin\u00eb e tij zgjedhore, Eisenkoti i b\u00ebri thirrje Netanyahut q\u00eb \u201csot t\u00eb njoftoj\u00eb t\u00ebrheqjen nga jeta politike\u201d.<\/p>\n
Ai u tha t\u00eb pranishm\u00ebve se izraelit\u00ebt jan\u00eb lodhur nga \u201ckultura e g\u00ebnjeshtrave, p\u00ebr\u00e7arjeve dhe nxitjes s\u00eb urrejtjes\u201d s\u00eb Netanyahut.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, k\u00ebt\u00eb deklarat\u00eb e b\u00ebri p\u00ebrpara se t\u00eb korrigjoheshin rezultatet e nj\u00ebr\u00ebs prej exit-polleve kryesore. Edhe pse sondazhi fillimisht parashikonte ep\u00ebrsin\u00eb e bllokut t\u00eb Eisenkotit, Netanyahu e ka kaluar at\u00eb nd\u00ebrkoh\u00eb, shkruan bbc.<\/p>\n
Netanyahu mund t\u00eb p\u00ebrpiqet ta p\u00ebrfshij\u00eb partin\u00eb Yashar t\u00eb Eisenkotit n\u00eb nj\u00eb qeveri t\u00eb unitetit me partin\u00eb e tij, Likud, por me kusht q\u00eb t\u00eb heq\u00eb dor\u00eb nga aleat\u00ebt e tij t\u00eb ekstremit t\u00eb djatht\u00eb dhe partit\u00eb ultraortodokse.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, mbr\u00ebm\u00eb, n\u00eb selin\u00eb e Likudit, Netanyahu fal\u00ebnderoi \u201cpartner\u00ebt e tij besnik\u00eb\u201d dhe b\u00ebri thirrje p\u00ebr formimin e nj\u00eb \u201cqeverie t\u00eb fort\u00eb t\u00eb djatht\u00eb\u201d. Shum\u00ebkush e interpretoi k\u00ebt\u00eb mesazh si shenj\u00eb se ai d\u00ebshiron ta ruaj\u00eb koalicionin aktual.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim i ri i mundsh\u00ebm i konfliktit me Iranin mund ta shtyj\u00eb p\u00ebrpara iden\u00eb e nj\u00eb qeverie t\u00eb unitetit, pasi do t\u00eb krijonte presion t\u00eb madh mbi lider\u00ebt politik\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb l\u00ebn\u00eb m\u00ebnjan\u00eb dallimet dhe p\u00ebr t\u00eb bashk\u00ebpunuar.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb dit\u00ebt para zgjedhjeve, mediat izraelite dhe amerikane raportuan se Netanyahu po angazhohej p\u00ebr sulme t\u00eb reja ndaj Iranit dhe se kishte ushtruar presion mbi Donald Trumpin p\u00ebr t\u00eb miratuar p\u00ebrfshirjen e SHBA-s\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Kritik\u00ebt e Netanyahut, pa dyshim, do ta interpretonin nj\u00eb veprim t\u00eb till\u00eb si p\u00ebrpjekje p\u00ebr t\u00eb shp\u00ebtuar karrier\u00ebn e tij politike duke nxitur nj\u00eb konflikt t\u00eb ri rajonal.<\/p>\n
2. Qeveri e Eisenkotit me mb\u00ebshtetjen e partive arabe<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb skenar i till\u00eb do t\u00eb sillte ndryshime t\u00eb thella n\u00eb politik\u00ebn izraelite. Deri m\u00eb tani, vet\u00ebm nj\u00eb parti e pavarur arabe ka qen\u00eb pjes\u00eb formale e nj\u00eb koalicioni qeveris\u00ebs, n\u00eb vitin 2021, por ajo aleanc\u00eb zgjati pak.<\/p>\n
Eisenkoti dhe pothuajse t\u00eb gjitha partit\u00eb e tjera hebraike n\u00eb bllokun e tij tashm\u00eb e kan\u00eb p\u00ebrjashtuar mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e formimit t\u00eb nj\u00eb qeverie me partit\u00eb arabe. Pavar\u00ebsisht k\u00ebsaj, ky \u00ebsht\u00eb aktualisht i vetmi skenar p\u00ebrmes t\u00eb cilit opozita mund t\u00eb arrij\u00eb shumic\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
Partit\u00eb arabe jan\u00eb surpriza m\u00eb e madhe e zgjedhjeve. Sipas projeksioneve, ato kan\u00eb arritur rezultat m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb se sa pritej dhe mund t\u00eb fitojn\u00eb nj\u00eb num\u00ebr rekord prej 19 mandatesh.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rezultat ka ndikuar pjes\u00ebmarrja rekord e votuesve arab\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt p\u00ebrb\u00ebjn\u00eb rreth nj\u00eb t\u00eb pest\u00ebn e popullsis\u00eb dhe shpesh identifikohen si qytetar\u00eb palestinez\u00eb t\u00eb Izraelit.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr vite me radh\u00eb, shum\u00eb prej tyre i kan\u00eb bojkotuar zgjedhjet, duke argumentuar se pjes\u00ebmarrja n\u00eb votime i jep legjitimitet nj\u00eb sistemi q\u00eb i trajton si qytetar\u00eb t\u00eb dor\u00ebs s\u00eb dyt\u00eb<\/p>\n
Situata ndryshoi rr\u00ebnj\u00ebsisht me pjes\u00ebmarrjen e tyre n\u00eb votimet e s\u00eb mart\u00ebs, t\u00eb nxitur nga d\u00ebshira p\u00ebr ta rr\u00ebzuar koalicionin qeveris\u00ebs m\u00eb t\u00eb djatht\u00eb n\u00eb historin\u00eb e Izraelit.<\/p>\n
Lista e Bashkuar Arabe, e cila pritet t\u00eb fitoj\u00eb rreth shtat\u00eb mandate, ka deklaruar se \u00ebsht\u00eb e gatshme t\u2019i bashkohet nj\u00eb qeverie opozitare. Nd\u00ebrkaq, Lista e P\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt, s\u00eb cil\u00ebs i parashikohen 12 mandate, ka b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb ditur se do ta mb\u00ebshteste nj\u00eb qeveri t\u00eb till\u00eb nga parlamenti, pa qen\u00eb domosdoshm\u00ebrisht pjes\u00eb e saj.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, i vetmi lider politik hebre q\u00eb aktualisht e mb\u00ebshtet k\u00ebt\u00eb skenar \u00ebsht\u00eb Yair Golan, nga partia Demokrat\u00ebt.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb koalicion i till\u00eb do t\u00eb ishte jasht\u00ebzakonisht i brisht\u00eb, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht p\u00ebr \u00e7\u00ebshtjet q\u00eb lidhen me Gaz\u00ebn dhe Bregun Per\u00ebndimor t\u00eb pushtuar.<\/p>\n
Q\u00ebndrimi i p\u00ebrbashk\u00ebt i partive hebraike kund\u00ebr p\u00ebrfshirjes s\u00eb arab\u00ebve n\u00eb pushtet d\u00ebshmon edhe nj\u00eb her\u00eb p\u00ebr ndarjet e thella n\u00eb shoq\u00ebrin\u00eb izraelite.<\/p>\n
3. Shumic\u00eb e Netanyahut p\u00ebrmes kalimit t\u00eb deputet\u00ebve nga opozita<\/p>\n
Mund\u00ebsia e tret\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb q\u00eb Netanyahu t\u2019i bind\u00eb partit\u00eb e djathta nga blloku i Eisenkotit t\u2019i braktisin partner\u00ebt e tyre dhe t\u2019i bashkohen koalicionit t\u00eb tij.<\/p>\n
Dy kandidat\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm p\u00ebr nj\u00eb kalim t\u00eb till\u00eb jan\u00eb Naftali Bennett, bashk\u00ebkryetar i aleanc\u00ebs Beyachad, dhe Avigdor Lieberman, lider i partis\u00eb Yisrael Beiteinu.<\/p>\n
T\u00eb dy jan\u00eb politikan\u00eb t\u00eb djatht\u00eb, me q\u00ebndrime t\u00eb ashpra p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb, dhe ndajn\u00eb disa pik\u00ebpamje politike me Netanyahun.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, gjat\u00eb fushat\u00ebs, t\u00eb dy k\u00ebrkuan shprehimisht largimin e Netanyahut, si dhe vendosjen e sh\u00ebrbimit t\u00eb detyruesh\u00ebm ushtarak p\u00ebr hebrenjt\u00eb ultraortodoks\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Ky q\u00ebndrim i vendos ata n\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtim t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb me dy partit\u00eb ultraortodokse q\u00eb tashm\u00eb jan\u00eb pjes\u00eb e qeveris\u00eb s\u00eb Netanyahut, duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebrfytyrimin e nj\u00eb bashk\u00ebpunimi mes tyre.<\/p>\n
Disa analist\u00eb mendojn\u00eb se partit\u00eb e Bennettit dhe Liebermanit mund t\u2019i z\u00ebvend\u00ebsojn\u00eb partner\u00ebt ultraortodoks\u00eb t\u00eb Netanyahut. Megjithat\u00eb, sipas p\u00ebrllogaritjeve aktuale t\u00eb mandateve, nj\u00eb grupim i till\u00eb me gjas\u00eb nuk do t\u00eb kishte mjaftuesh\u00ebm vende p\u00ebr t\u00eb siguruar shumic\u00ebn.<\/p>\n
4. Zgjedhje t\u00eb reja<\/p>\n
N\u00ebse asnj\u00ebri prej skenar\u00ebve t\u00eb m\u00ebsip\u00ebrm nuk realizohet, vendi do t\u00eb shkoj\u00eb automatikisht n\u00eb zgjedhje t\u00eb reja.<\/p>\n
Shum\u00ebkush do ta konsideronte nj\u00eb rezultat t\u00eb till\u00eb si fitore t\u00eb heshtur p\u00ebr Netanyahun. Ai do t\u00eb mbetej n\u00eb detyr\u00eb si kryeminist\u00ebr n\u00eb detyr\u00eb deri n\u00eb zgjedhjet e reja dhe me gjas\u00eb do t\u00eb shpresonte t\u00eb arrinte rezultat m\u00eb t\u00eb mir\u00eb n\u00eb to.<\/p>\n
Disa analist\u00eb besojn\u00eb se pjes\u00ebmarrja e lart\u00eb e votuesve arab\u00eb nuk do t\u00eb p\u00ebrs\u00ebritej, ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht n\u00ebse rezulton se numri rekord i mandateve t\u00eb fituara prej tyre nuk sjell asnj\u00eb ndryshim politik.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00ebkoh\u00ebsisht, kjo mund t\u00eb mobilizonte m\u00eb shum\u00eb votues t\u00eb djatht\u00eb. Netanyahu me gjas\u00eb llogarit edhe n\u00eb faktin se rreth 70 mij\u00eb izraelit\u00eb, t\u00eb cil\u00ebt udh\u00ebtuan nga jasht\u00eb vendit p\u00ebr t\u00eb votuar kund\u00ebr tij, nuk do t\u00eb ktheheshin n\u00eb num\u00ebr kaq t\u00eb madh p\u00ebr zgjedhjet e p\u00ebrs\u00ebritura.<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, disa parti t\u00eb djathta q\u00eb nuk e kaluan pragun zgjedhor prej 3.25 p\u00ebr qind mund t\u00eb merrnin m\u00eb pak vota ose t\u00eb mos kandidonin fare, gj\u00eb q\u00eb do t\u00eb ishte n\u00eb favor t\u00eb Likudit dhe aleat\u00ebve t\u00eb tij.<\/p>\n
Izraeli ka mbajtur pes\u00eb pal\u00eb zgjedhje nd\u00ebrmjet viteve 2019 dhe 2022, pasi Netanyahu dhe rival\u00ebt e tij nuk arrit\u00ebn marr\u00ebveshje p\u00ebr formimin e qeveris\u00eb. \/Telegrafi<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Izraeli, me sa duket, \u00ebsht\u00eb s\u00ebrish n\u00eb nj\u00eb bllokad\u00eb politike. Pas num\u00ebrimit t\u00eb gati 90…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":60511,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-60508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bote"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=60508"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60508\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":60512,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/60508\/revisions\/60512"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/60511"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=60508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=60508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=60508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}