Nga Prof. Dr. Muhamet Racaj, Gjeneral-Major n\u00eb pension<\/p>\n
Deklaratat e fundit t\u00eb Gard\u00ebs Revolucionare Islamike t\u00eb Iranit p\u00ebr ekzistenc\u00ebn e t\u00eb ashtuquajturave \u201cqytete n\u00ebntok\u00ebsore t\u00eb raketave\u201d d\u00ebshmojn\u00eb se Teherani po p\u00ebrpiqet t\u00eb forcoj\u00eb strategjin\u00eb e mbijetes\u00ebs ushtarake dhe t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb aft\u00ebsin\u00eb e kund\u00ebrgoditjes edhe n\u00eb kushtet e nj\u00eb konflikti t\u00eb zgjatur.<\/p>\n
Sipas z\u00ebdh\u00ebn\u00ebsit t\u00eb Gard\u00ebs Revolucionare, gjeneral brigade Hossein Mohebi, Irani ka zhvendosur nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb t\u00eb prodhimit t\u00eb raketave n\u00eb objekte n\u00ebntok\u00ebsore, me q\u00ebllim q\u00eb kapacitetet ushtarake t\u00eb mos nd\u00ebrpriten nga bombardimet ajrore. Ai paralajm\u00ebroi gjithashtu se Irani mund t\u00eb prezantoj\u00eb nj\u00eb arm\u00eb t\u00eb re, e cila, sipas tij, do ta befasoj\u00eb bot\u00ebn.
\nNga pik\u00ebpamja ushtarake, kjo strategji nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb e rast\u00ebsishme. Irani ka investuar p\u00ebr vite n\u00eb bunker\u00eb, tunele, depo t\u00eb fortifikuara dhe objekte t\u00eb mbrojtura p\u00ebr prodhimin e arm\u00ebve. Q\u00ebllimi \u00ebsht\u00eb shp\u00ebrndarja dhe fshehja e kapaciteteve ushtarake, n\u00eb m\u00ebnyr\u00eb q\u00eb shkat\u00ebrrimi i disa objekteve t\u00eb mos n\u00ebnkuptoj\u00eb paralizimin e t\u00eb gjith\u00eb sistemit raketor.
\nMegjithat\u00eb, objektet n\u00ebntok\u00ebsore nuk jan\u00eb t\u00eb paprekshme. Ato varen nga energjia, logjistika, furnizimi me l\u00ebnd\u00eb t\u00eb para, komunikimi dhe infrastruktura p\u00ebrcjell\u00ebse. D\u00ebmtimi i k\u00ebtyre hallkave mund ta kufizoj\u00eb ndjesh\u00ebm funksionalitetin e tyre.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb element tjet\u00ebr i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm \u00ebsht\u00eb kombinimi i raketave balistike, dron\u00ebve sulmues dhe luft\u00ebs elektronike. Kjo p\u00ebrb\u00ebn nj\u00eb pjes\u00eb thelb\u00ebsore t\u00eb doktrin\u00ebs iraniane t\u00eb luft\u00ebs asimetrike. Teherani synon ta detyroj\u00eb kund\u00ebrshtarin t\u00eb shpenzoj\u00eb sasi t\u00eb m\u00ebdha municionesh interceptuese p\u00ebr t\u00eb neutralizuar mjete sulmuese relativisht m\u00eb t\u00eb lira.
\nN\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb kontekst, pretendimi iranian se sistemet amerikane THAAD dhe Patriot jan\u00eb b\u00ebr\u00eb joefektive duhet trajtuar me rezerv\u00eb. Asnj\u00eb sistem i mbrojtjes ajrore nuk garanton mbrojtje absolute, por as dep\u00ebrtimi i disa raketave nuk d\u00ebshmon d\u00ebshtimin e plot\u00eb t\u00eb tij. Efektiviteti varet nga numri i objektivave, intensiteti i sulmeve, disponueshm\u00ebria e interceptor\u00ebve dhe koordinimi i sistemeve t\u00eb mbrojtjes.
\nSa i p\u00ebrket arm\u00ebs s\u00eb re t\u00eb paralajm\u00ebruar nga Teherani, mund t\u00eb b\u00ebhet fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr zhvillime n\u00eb teknologjin\u00eb raketore, dron\u00ebt autonom\u00eb ose sistemet e luft\u00ebs elektronike. Megjithat\u00eb, deri m\u00eb tani nuk ka prova t\u00eb pavarura q\u00eb konfirmojn\u00eb ekzistenc\u00ebn e nj\u00eb sistemi t\u00eb ri revolucionar me aft\u00ebsi t\u00eb pakrahasueshme. K\u00ebto deklarata mund t\u00eb ken\u00eb edhe karakter psikologjik dhe parandalues ndaj kund\u00ebrshtar\u00ebve.
\nVler\u00ebsimi im strategjik \u00ebsht\u00eb se Irani po p\u00ebrgatitet jo vet\u00ebm p\u00ebr nj\u00eb kund\u00ebrp\u00ebrgjigje t\u00eb kufizuar, por p\u00ebr mund\u00ebsin\u00eb e nj\u00eb konflikti t\u00eb zgjatur. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, ai synon t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb kapacitetet e prodhimit, magazinimit dhe p\u00ebrdorimit t\u00eb arm\u00ebve edhe pas goditjeve t\u00eb mundshme ajrore.<\/p>\n
Nga ana tjet\u00ebr, SHBA-ja dhe Izraeli kan\u00eb ep\u00ebrsi t\u00eb konsiderueshme n\u00eb aviacionin luftarak, inteligjenc\u00ebn, zbulimin satelitor dhe teknologjin\u00eb e goditjeve precize. P\u00ebrballja nd\u00ebrmjet k\u00ebtyre dy koncepteve ushtarake mund ta b\u00ebj\u00eb \u00e7do konflikt t\u00eb ri shum\u00eb m\u00eb kompleks dhe me pasoja p\u00ebrtej rajonit.<\/p>\n
Rreziku nuk kufizohet vet\u00ebm n\u00eb aspektin ushtarak. Nj\u00eb p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzim i ri mund t\u00eb k\u00ebrc\u00ebnoj\u00eb Ngushtic\u00ebn e Hormuzit, furnizimin global me energji dhe stabilitetin ekonomik nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtar.
\nN\u00eb p\u00ebrfundim, qytetet n\u00ebntok\u00ebsore t\u00eb raketave jan\u00eb nj\u00eb element i r\u00ebnd\u00ebsish\u00ebm i strategjis\u00eb iraniane t\u00eb mbijetes\u00ebs, por nuk garantojn\u00eb paprekshm\u00ebri apo fitore ushtarake. Fuqia reale e nj\u00eb shteti nuk matet vet\u00ebm me numrin e raketave q\u00eb posedon, por me aft\u00ebsin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb ruajtur industrin\u00eb, logjistik\u00ebn, ekonomin\u00eb dhe sistemin e komandimit gjat\u00eb nj\u00eb lufte.
\nLufta moderne nuk fitohet vet\u00ebm duke goditur objektivat e kund\u00ebrshtarit, por edhe duke pasur aft\u00ebsin\u00eb t\u00eb mbijetosh, t\u00eb rikuperosh kapacitetet dhe t\u00eb ruash fuqin\u00eb p\u00ebr t\u00eb vazhduar luft\u00ebn.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Nga Prof. Dr. Muhamet Racaj, Gjeneral-Major n\u00eb pension Deklaratat e fundit t\u00eb Gard\u00ebs Revolucionare Islamike…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11324,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-op-ed"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63402","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63402"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63402\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63405,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63402\/revisions\/63405"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11324"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63402"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63402"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63402"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}