Analiz\u00eb \u2013 Prof. Dr. Muhamet Racaj, gjeneral-major n\u00eb pension<\/p>\n
Lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb po hyn n\u00eb nj\u00eb faz\u00eb t\u00eb nd\u00ebrlikuar, ku p\u00ebrve\u00e7 p\u00ebrballjes ushtarake n\u00eb front, gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb shum\u00eb po goditen infrastruktura energjetike, objektet strategjike dhe korridoret logjistike. K\u00ebto zhvillime nuk p\u00ebrb\u00ebjn\u00eb vet\u00ebm problem p\u00ebr Ukrain\u00ebn, por paraqesin sfid\u00eb t\u00eb drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb p\u00ebr sigurin\u00eb evropiane.
\nDimri mund ta shtoj\u00eb presionin mbi Ukrain\u00ebn. Sulmet ruse ndaj termocentraleve, n\u00ebnstacioneve elektrike dhe objekteve energjetike rrezikojn\u00eb t\u00eb shkaktojn\u00eb nd\u00ebrprerje t\u00eb gjata t\u00eb furnizimit me energji, duke ndikuar n\u00eb funksionimin e ekonomis\u00eb, industris\u00eb dhe institucioneve civile.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb planin ushtarak, zhvillimet rreth Izjiumit, Sllovjanskut dhe Kramatorskut kan\u00eb r\u00ebnd\u00ebsi t\u00eb ve\u00e7ant\u00eb. N\u00ebse Rusia arrin t\u00eb avancoj\u00eb dhe t\u00eb nd\u00ebrpres\u00eb linjat e furnizimit ukrainas, mund t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb kushte p\u00ebr izolimin e forcave t\u00eb konsiderueshme t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs n\u00eb Donbas. Megjithat\u00eb, rrethimi i k\u00ebtyre forcave mbetet skenar ushtarak dhe jo rezultat i konfirmuar.<\/p>\n
Rreziku p\u00ebr Evrop\u00ebn
\nP\u00ebr Evrop\u00ebn, pasojat e k\u00ebsaj lufte shkojn\u00eb p\u00ebrtej kufijve t\u00eb Ukrain\u00ebs. Nj\u00eb ndryshim i madh i raportit ushtarak n\u00eb terren mund t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb arkitektur\u00ebn e siguris\u00eb evropiane, n\u00eb marr\u00ebdh\u00ebniet transatlantike dhe n\u00eb politik\u00ebn e mbrojtjes s\u00eb NATO-s.<\/p>\n
Ekzistojn\u00eb disa rreziqe kryesore:
\n\u2022 Rreziku i p\u00ebrshkall\u00ebzimit: zgjerimi i incidenteve ushtarake dhe rritja e tensioneve pran\u00eb kufijve t\u00eb NATO-s.
\n\u2022 Siguria energjetike: d\u00ebmtimi i infrastruktur\u00ebs dhe pasiguria n\u00eb furnizimin me energji.
\n\u2022 Lufta hibride: sulmet kibernetike, sabotimet, dezinformimi dhe nd\u00ebrhyrjet n\u00eb proceset institucionale.
\n\u2022 Presioni ekonomik: rritja e shpenzimeve t\u00eb mbrojtjes, pasiguria e tregjeve dhe kostot e rind\u00ebrtimit.
\n\u2022 Dob\u00ebsimi i unitetit evropian: dallimet nd\u00ebrmjet shteteve p\u00ebr mb\u00ebshtetjen ushtarake, sanksionet dhe zgjidhjen diplomatike.<\/p>\n
Nj\u00eb shqet\u00ebsim tjet\u00ebr \u00ebsht\u00eb se nj\u00eb fitore e mundshme territoriale ruse n\u00eb Donbas mund t\u00eb ndryshoj\u00eb pozicionet negociuese dhe t\u00eb krijoj\u00eb presion t\u00eb ri mbi Ukrain\u00ebn dhe partner\u00ebt e saj per\u00ebndimor\u00eb.
\nEvropa duhet ta kuptoj\u00eb se siguria e saj nuk p\u00ebrcaktohet vet\u00ebm n\u00eb kufijt\u00eb e Bashkimit Evropian, por edhe nga zhvillimet n\u00eb hap\u00ebsir\u00ebn lindore t\u00eb kontinentit. P\u00ebr k\u00ebt\u00eb arsye, forcimi i kapaciteteve mbrojt\u00ebse, mbrojtja e infrastruktur\u00ebs kritike, bashk\u00ebpunimi inteligjent dhe koordinimi me NATO-n jan\u00eb domosdoshm\u00ebri strategjike.<\/p>\n
P\u00cbRFUNDIM
\nLufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb prov\u00eb serioze p\u00ebr sistemin evropian t\u00eb siguris\u00eb. Rezultati i saj do t\u00eb ndikoj\u00eb n\u00eb raportet e fuqis\u00eb nd\u00ebrkomb\u00ebtare, n\u00eb rolin e NATO-s dhe n\u00eb t\u00eb ardhmen e politik\u00ebs s\u00eb mbrojtjes s\u00eb Evrop\u00ebs.
\nEvropian\u00ebt duhet t\u00eb p\u00ebrgatiten p\u00ebr nj\u00eb periudh\u00eb t\u00eb gjat\u00eb pasigurie, pa e konsideruar luft\u00ebn e drejtp\u00ebrdrejt\u00eb me Rusin\u00eb si t\u00eb pashmangshme, por as duke e p\u00ebrjashtuar nevoj\u00ebn p\u00ebr gatishm\u00ebri mbrojt\u00ebse.
\nPaqja nuk ruhet vet\u00ebm p\u00ebrmes deklaratave diplomatike, por edhe p\u00ebrmes parandalimit, unitetit politik dhe kapaciteteve reale t\u00eb mbrojtjes. Evropa duhet t\u00eb jet\u00eb e aft\u00eb t\u00eb mbroj\u00eb veten, t\u00eb ruaj\u00eb stabilitetin dhe t\u00eb parandaloj\u00eb p\u00ebrhapjen e konfliktit.
\nP\u00ebr Ballkanin Per\u00ebndimor, p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb Kosov\u00ebn dhe Maqedonin\u00eb e Veriut, k\u00ebto zhvillime jan\u00eb paralajm\u00ebrim se siguria rajonale \u00ebsht\u00eb e lidhur ngusht\u00eb me sigurin\u00eb evropiane dhe euroatlantike.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Analiz\u00eb \u2013 Prof. Dr. Muhamet Racaj, gjeneral-major n\u00eb pension Lufta n\u00eb Ukrain\u00eb po hyn n\u00eb…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":11324,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63792","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-op-ed"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63792","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63792"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63792\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63795,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63792\/revisions\/63795"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/11324"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63792"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63792"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63792"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}