Fundi i bot\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb koncept i lasht\u00eb. N\u00eb Librin e tij biblik t\u00eb Zbules\u00ebs, Apostulli Gjon p\u00ebrshkroi fundin e koh\u00ebrave dhe Gjykimin e Fundit, duke p\u00ebrfshir\u00eb kat\u00ebr kalor\u00ebsit e apokalipsit – murtaja, lufta, uria dhe vdekja.<\/p>\n
Legjendat dhe profet\u00ebt e apokalipsit jan\u00eb shfaqur vazhdimisht gjat\u00eb historis\u00eb, dhe parashikimet nga Majat, Nostradamus dhe predikues t\u00eb ndrysh\u00ebm jan\u00eb interpretuar gjithashtu si paralajm\u00ebrues t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb bot\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
N\u00eb shkenc\u00ebn moderne, nj\u00eb burr\u00eb vjenez \u00ebsht\u00eb i njohur p\u00ebr parashikimin e tij t\u00eb sakt\u00eb t\u00eb apokalipsit: Fizikani dhe filozofi Heinz von Foerster, s\u00eb bashku me nj\u00eb koleg, botuan artikullin “Dita e Kiametit: E premte, 13 n\u00ebntor, 2026 pas Krishtit” n\u00eb revist\u00ebn e njohur Science 66 vjet m\u00eb par\u00eb . N\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb dit\u00eb, pak a shum\u00eb pes\u00eb vjet e gjysm\u00eb m\u00eb von\u00eb, njer\u00ebzimi supozohej t\u00eb arrinte kufijt\u00eb e tij.<\/p>\n
Treshja e autor\u00ebve paraqiti rritjen e shpejt\u00eb t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb s\u00eb 2,000 viteve t\u00eb fundit n\u00eb nj\u00eb model t\u00eb thjesht\u00eb matematik. Sipas k\u00ebtij modeli, numri i njer\u00ebzve do t’i afrohej infinitit deri n\u00eb mesin e viteve 2020, duke arritur k\u00ebshtu nj\u00eb singularitet matematik. Parashikohej q\u00eb gati 180 miliard\u00eb njer\u00ebz t\u00eb banonin n\u00eb Tok\u00eb. Ata nuk do t\u00eb – si\u00e7 kishin pohuar parashikues t\u00eb tjer\u00eb t\u00eb bazuar n\u00eb t\u00eb dh\u00ebna, si\u00e7 \u00ebsht\u00eb ekonomisti Thomas Malthus – do t\u00eb tejkalonin kapacitetin bujq\u00ebsor dhe nuk do t\u00eb vdisnin nga uria. “Ata do t\u00eb shtypen p\u00ebr vdekje”, shkruan von Foerster dhe koleg\u00ebt e tij me besim – dhe jo t\u00ebr\u00ebsisht seriozisht.<\/p>\n
Shum\u00eb ekspert\u00eb kan\u00eb theksuar q\u00eb at\u00ebher\u00eb se dokumenti nuk duhet t\u00eb merret fjal\u00eb p\u00ebr fjal\u00eb – nj\u00eb tregues i k\u00ebsaj \u00ebsht\u00eb se fundi i bot\u00ebs m\u00eb 13 n\u00ebntor 2026 p\u00ebrkon me dit\u00eblindjen e 115-t\u00eb t\u00eb von Foerster. Megjithat\u00eb, profecia e vitit 1960 ofron nj\u00eb mund\u00ebsi p\u00ebr t\u00eb diskutuar parashikimet dhe \u00e7\u00ebshtje t\u00eb tjera, menduan Helga Nowotny dhe Stefan Thurner t\u00eb Qendr\u00ebs Shkencore t\u00eb Kompleksitetit n\u00eb Vjen\u00eb (CSH). N\u00eb vendin e vjet\u00ebr t\u00eb q\u00ebndrimit t\u00eb von Foerster, ata organizuan nj\u00eb konferenc\u00eb mbi kuptimin dhe absurditetin e parashikimeve t\u00eb fundit t\u00eb bot\u00ebs.<\/p>\n
Shum\u00eb njer\u00ebz?<\/p>\n
T\u00eb pranishmit fol\u00ebn me indiferenc\u00eb t\u00eb enjten rreth “Dit\u00ebs s\u00eb Fundit” q\u00eb po vjen, duke p\u00ebrmendur bashk\u00ebshort\u00ebt e tyre jasht\u00eb vendit, nga t\u00eb cil\u00ebt ishin p\u00ebrsh\u00ebndetur me telefon, megjith\u00ebse ironikisht. N\u00eb t\u00eb nj\u00ebjt\u00ebn koh\u00eb, megjithat\u00eb, ata trajtuan krizat e koh\u00ebs son\u00eb, t\u00eb cilat, ndon\u00ebse nuk kan\u00eb gjasa t\u00eb \u00e7ojn\u00eb n\u00eb nj\u00eb apokalips t\u00eb profetizuar me nj\u00eb dat\u00eb specifike, megjithat\u00eb po k\u00ebrc\u00ebnojn\u00eb njer\u00ebzimin. Dhe lind pyetja n\u00ebse dikush mund ta shoh\u00eb v\u00ebrtet t\u00eb ardhmen me optimiz\u00ebm.<\/p>\n
Profecit\u00eb nuk synojn\u00eb domosdoshm\u00ebrisht t\u00eb jen\u00eb t\u00eb sakta deri n\u00eb dit\u00ebt e sotme, por p\u00ebrkundrazi sh\u00ebrbejn\u00eb p\u00ebr nj\u00eb funksion shoq\u00ebror; ato ndjekin nj\u00eb q\u00ebllim, theksoi studiuesi i shkenc\u00ebs Nowotny. Shpesh, ato kan\u00eb nj\u00eb karakter moralizues, q\u00eb synon t’i nxis\u00eb njer\u00ebzit t\u00eb rishqyrtojn\u00eb pik\u00ebpamjet e tyre dhe t\u00eb ndryshojn\u00eb sjelljen e tyre – n\u00eb k\u00ebt\u00eb rast, t\u00eb ngadal\u00ebsojn\u00eb zhvillimet e rrezikshme. Disa vjet pas Dokumentit t\u00eb Fundit t\u00eb Dit\u00ebs, biolog\u00ebt e Stanfordit, Anne dhe Paul Ehrlich, botuan librin e tyre alarmues * Bomba e Popullsis\u00eb *, duke paralajm\u00ebruar p\u00ebr nj\u00eb shp\u00ebrthim t\u00eb popullsis\u00eb dhe zi buke. Kjo u pasua nga raporti i njohur i Klubit t\u00eb Rom\u00ebs * Kufijt\u00eb e Rritjes *.<\/p>\n
K\u00ebto botime u p\u00ebrqendruan n\u00eb shfryt\u00ebzimin e burimeve t\u00eb Tok\u00ebs n\u00eb sh\u00ebrbim t\u00eb rritjes ekonomike, por gjithashtu krijuan narrativ\u00ebn e mbipopullimit. Nga politika e Kin\u00ebs p\u00ebr nj\u00eb f\u00ebmij\u00eb deri te sterilizimet e detyruara n\u00eb vendet e Azis\u00eb Jugore, u zbatuan masa t\u00eb ndryshme p\u00ebr t\u00eb kufizuar shkall\u00ebn e lindjeve. Edhe sot, ideja vazhdon, n\u00eb em\u00ebr t\u00eb mbrojtjes s\u00eb klim\u00ebs, q\u00eb riprodhimi njer\u00ebzor duhet t\u00eb minimizohet n\u00eb vendet afrikane – megjith\u00ebse stilet e tyre t\u00eb jetes\u00ebs jan\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb pak t\u00eb d\u00ebmshme p\u00ebr klim\u00ebn sesa ato t\u00eb personit mesatar n\u00eb Veriun Global.<\/p>\n
Por edhe n\u00eb vitet 1960 dhe 1970, nj\u00eb r\u00ebnie e shkall\u00ebs s\u00eb lindjeve po b\u00ebhej e dukshme n\u00eb vendet e pasura, dhe menj\u00ebher\u00eb pas artikullit t\u00eb von Foerster, pilula kontraceptive filloi p\u00ebrhapjen e saj triumfuese. Situata \u00ebsht\u00eb p\u00ebrmbysur q\u00eb at\u00ebher\u00eb; tani shum\u00eb vende po p\u00ebrpiqen t\u00eb rrisin shkall\u00ebn e lindjeve. Lakme t\u00eb tilla reagimi i b\u00ebjn\u00eb parashikimet afatgjata t\u00eb pasigurta.<\/p>\n
Rreziku i teprimit<\/p>\n
Nd\u00ebrsa Doomsday Paper ishte padyshim i motivuar shkenc\u00ebrisht n\u00eb at\u00eb koh\u00eb, ai gjithashtu p\u00ebrmbante supozime subjektive t\u00eb dyshimta dhe synonte t\u00eb arrinte nj\u00eb q\u00ebllim specifik, kritikoi gazetarja dhe historiania Misha Glenny n\u00eb Konferenc\u00ebn e Doomsday. N\u00eb p\u00ebrgjith\u00ebsi, megjithat\u00eb, parashikimet apokaliptike jo vet\u00ebm q\u00eb mund t\u00eb motivojn\u00eb veprimin, por edhe t\u00eb prodhojn\u00eb efektin e kund\u00ebrt psikologjik: “Ne themi se p\u00ebr fat t\u00eb keq nuk mund t\u00eb ndryshojm\u00eb asgj\u00eb dhe mund t\u00eb dor\u00ebzohemi; ky \u00ebsht\u00eb rreziku i reagimit t\u00eb tepruar”, tha Glenny, i cili drejtoi IWM n\u00eb Vjen\u00eb deri n\u00eb fillim t\u00eb vitit 2026 dhe tani punon p\u00ebr BBC-n\u00eb.<\/p>\n
Megjithat\u00eb, shkenc\u00ebtari mjedisor Jesse Ausubel (Universiteti Rockefeller) beson se von Foerster kishte t\u00eb drejt\u00eb n\u00eb disa fusha. Ai futi ide t\u00eb reja n\u00eb demografi dhe frym\u00ebzoi modele t\u00eb m\u00ebtejshme p\u00ebr modelimin e krizave shoq\u00ebrore. P\u00ebr m\u00eb tep\u00ebr, ai sfidoi narrativ\u00ebn e progresit q\u00eb zhvillimi i njer\u00ebzimit \u00e7on n\u00eb prosperitet gjithnj\u00eb e n\u00eb rritje dhe t\u00ebrhoqi v\u00ebmendjen ndaj problemeve.<\/p>\n
Arm\u00ebt e konfuzionit masiv<\/p>\n
Frika nga shkat\u00ebrrimi i af\u00ebrt nuk \u00ebsht\u00eb zhdukur. Kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb ve\u00e7an\u00ebrisht e dukshme n\u00eb Or\u00ebn simbolike t\u00eb Kiametit, akrepat e s\u00eb cil\u00ebs u vendos\u00ebn s\u00eb fundmi n\u00eb 85 sekonda para mesnat\u00ebs. Glenny identifikoi kat\u00ebr kalor\u00ebs t\u00eb rinj t\u00eb apokalipsit p\u00ebr t’iu p\u00ebrgjigjur anktheve t\u00eb sotme: pandemit\u00eb, ndryshimet klimatike, sistemet kompjuterike t\u00eb rrjet\u00ebzuara si inteligjenca artificiale dhe arm\u00ebt e shkat\u00ebrrimit n\u00eb mas\u00eb – “megjith\u00ebse dikush mund t\u00eb argumentoj\u00eb se inteligjenca artificiale dhe arm\u00ebt e shkat\u00ebrrimit n\u00eb mas\u00eb shk\u00ebmbejn\u00eb vazhdimisht kuaj”. Ausubel shtoi nj\u00eb kalor\u00ebs t\u00eb pest\u00eb t\u00eb mundsh\u00ebm: “arm\u00ebt e konfuzionit masiv”, t\u00eb cilat nuk jan\u00eb menj\u00ebher\u00eb vdekjeprur\u00ebse, por mund t\u00eb shkaktojn\u00eb dezinformim dhe t\u00eb mbingarkojn\u00eb miliarda njer\u00ebz, p\u00ebr shembull, p\u00ebrmes mediave sociale.<\/p>\n
Mund\u00ebsit\u00eb teknologjike, n\u00eb ve\u00e7anti, sjellin avantazhe dhe disavantazhe t\u00eb m\u00ebdha. P\u00ebr Ausubel, viti 2026 do t\u00eb jet\u00eb “viti m\u00eb i madh n\u00eb historin\u00eb e shkenc\u00ebs”, pasi inteligjenca artificiale hap mund\u00ebsi krejt\u00ebsisht t\u00eb reja, nga problemet matematikore t\u00eb pazgjidhura prej koh\u00ebsh deri te zhvillimi i shpejt\u00eb i barnave t\u00eb reja . Ana tjet\u00ebr e medaljes, sipas Glenny-t, \u00ebsht\u00eb kjo: “Bota jon\u00eb nuk ka qen\u00eb kurr\u00eb kaq e nd\u00ebrlidhur, megjithat\u00eb ne jemi n\u00eb mes t\u00eb nj\u00eb epidemie vetmie, alienimi dhe s\u00ebmundjesh t\u00eb lidhura me stresin. Jet\u00ebt tona t\u00eb mbingarkuara, kaotike dhe t\u00eb ‘p\u00ebrmir\u00ebsuara’ ndihen sikur po dalin jasht\u00eb kontrollit. Makinerit\u00eb supozohet t\u00eb punojn\u00eb p\u00ebr ne, por shpesh duket sikur ne po punojm\u00eb p\u00ebr makinat tona.”<\/p>\n
Po b\u00ebhet gjithnj\u00eb e m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb t\u00eb gjesh nj\u00eb ekuilib\u00ebr k\u00ebtu. Glenny shpjegon se d\u00ebshiron t\u00eb q\u00ebndroj\u00eb i azhurnuar me lajmet nga e gjith\u00eb bota, “k\u00ebshtu q\u00eb jam vazhdimisht duke shfletuar faqet e internetit dhe, p\u00ebr ta th\u00ebn\u00eb tro\u00e7, kjo po m\u00eb \u00e7mend”. Antidoti i tij \u00ebsht\u00eb leximi i librave p\u00ebr t\u00eb fituar nj\u00eb perspektiv\u00eb t\u00eb ndryshme. Megjithat\u00eb, kjo \u00ebsht\u00eb shum\u00eb m\u00eb e v\u00ebshtir\u00eb p\u00ebr ata q\u00eb jan\u00eb t\u00eb lindur n\u00eb bot\u00ebn digjitale. Ai \u00ebsht\u00eb gjithashtu i shqet\u00ebsuar se shum\u00eb t\u00eb rinj i marrin lajmet nga burime q\u00eb nuk kan\u00eb t\u00eb b\u00ebjn\u00eb fare me kanalet tradicionale t\u00eb informacionit.<\/p>\n
Simptoma Trump<\/p>\n
P\u00ebr ta p\u00ebrkeq\u00ebsuar edhe m\u00eb shum\u00eb situat\u00ebn, ka dal\u00eb n\u00eb pah nj\u00eb elit\u00eb teknologjike q\u00eb “zot\u00ebron sasi krejt\u00ebsisht t\u00eb jasht\u00ebzakonshme parash dhe ndikimi sipas \u00e7do standardi historik”, thekson Glenny. “Fatkeq\u00ebsia jon\u00eb m\u00eb e madhe \u00ebsht\u00eb se t\u00eb gjitha k\u00ebto k\u00ebrc\u00ebnime p\u00ebrkojn\u00eb me nj\u00eb kriz\u00eb n\u00eb politik\u00eb”. Si simptom\u00eb, njer\u00ebz si Trump, Bolsonaro, Putin dhe Xi jan\u00eb ngritur n\u00eb pozicionet m\u00eb t\u00eb fuqishme n\u00eb bot\u00eb, “disa nga individ\u00ebt m\u00eb t\u00eb korruptuar, t\u00eb paaft\u00eb dhe keqdash\u00ebs” – duke e b\u00ebr\u00eb t\u00eb v\u00ebshtir\u00eb adresimin e problemeve themelore. “N\u00ebse duam t\u00eb trajtojm\u00eb sfidat e thella, duhet t\u00eb sigurohemi q\u00eb t\u00eb ruajm\u00eb kontrollin mbi teknologjin\u00eb”, thot\u00eb ai.<\/p>\n
Mund t\u00eb mos jet\u00eb e qart\u00eb, por profecit\u00eb e fundit t\u00eb bot\u00ebs p\u00ebrmbajn\u00eb nj\u00eb mesazh pozitiv q\u00eb Misha Glenny d\u00ebshiron ta nxjerr\u00eb n\u00eb pah: dometh\u00ebn\u00eb, r\u00ebnd\u00ebsin\u00eb e mosdor\u00ebzimit ndaj pasivitetit. “Njer\u00ebzit vler\u00ebsojn\u00eb probabilitetin e fatkeq\u00ebsive nd\u00ebrsa ato nuk kan\u00eb ndodhur ende. Un\u00eb ende besoj se, edhe p\u00ebrball\u00eb problemeve tona m\u00eb t\u00eb dukshme – ndryshimit t\u00eb klim\u00ebs dhe tani inteligjenc\u00ebs artificiale – njer\u00ebzimi \u00ebsht\u00eb i aft\u00eb t’i kap\u00ebrcej\u00eb ato dhe t\u00eb shmang\u00eb shkat\u00ebrrimin.”\/ Standard.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Fundi i bot\u00ebs \u00ebsht\u00eb nj\u00eb koncept i lasht\u00eb. N\u00eb Librin e tij biblik t\u00eb Zbules\u00ebs,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":65185,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65182","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bote"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65182","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=65182"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65182\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":65186,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65182\/revisions\/65186"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/65185"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=65182"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=65182"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/faktiditor.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=65182"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}